Forecast Takeaways
Here are some of the big takeaways from our annual Market Forecast with Economist Matthew Gardner:
- Interest rates will continue to trend down during the year and reach 6.08% by the end of 2024.
- Home prices will have another year of modest gains increasing 2.0% to 2.5% in Northern Colorado
- 53% of homeowners in Larimer County and 38% of homeowners in Weld County are “Equity Rich” meaning that they have at least 50% equity in their homes.
- Inventory levels will increase in 2024 but will remain below normal which protects prices from any sort of major decline
To receive a copy of the full slide deck from the Forecast, feel free to reach out to us!
$44 Trillion
Have you ever wondered how much all of the residential real estate in the U.S. is worth?
It’s $44.5 trillion.
That’s 44 with 12 zeroes after it.
This data comes from the Federal Reserve’s Quarterly “Z.1” report.
The total valuation increased by $2.4 Trillion over the last quarter and is essentially flat compared to one year ago.
In total, liabilities on residential properties (mortgages, equity loans, etc.) is $12.9 trillion.
So, collectively, residential property owners in the U.S. have a 71% equity share and owe 29% of the value.
With a “T”
One of the reasons we are so confident about the long-term health of the market is because of the equity that exists in peoples’ homes today.
Because there is so much equity, there are very few homeowners who are ‘underwater’ with a loan that is more than the actual value of the property.
According to the latest ‘Homeowner Equity Insights’ report from CoreLogic, only 2.3% of all homes are ‘underwater’ with negative equity.
To put that in perspective, in the fourth quarter of 2009, 26% of all mortgaged properties had negative equity.
Nationally, homeowner equity has increased by $2.9 Trillion during the last 12 months (that’s Trillion with a ‘T’)!
Locally, only 1.4% of Colorado mortgage holders have negative equity, which is one of the lowest rates in the Country.
What this all means is very, very few distressed sales and overall health in the real estate market.